Jul 062012
 

On April 23, 2011, Brandon Roy put on the performance of a lifetime.

With his Portland Trail Blazers falling behind 67-44 and the cartilage in his knees virtually non-existent, Roy put the team on his back and made history. The former Washington Huskies star scored 18 of his 24 points in the fourth quarter, including the game-deciding bank shot that has made Roy a young legend in the eyes of Trail Blazers fans worldwide.

Just under six months later, Brandon Roy shocked the world once again. Unfortunately, this shock was of a negative nature. Brandon Roy retired at just 27 years old.

Apparently, Roy enjoys these half-year periods of shocking decisions. Roughly eight months after he walked away from the game, Brandon Roy reached a verbal agreement with the Minnesota Timberwolves to officially begin his return to the NBA.

So where’s the next stop on the wildest ride of the century? If the Timberwolves have it their way, it will be a return to All-Star form. The question is, can Minnesota hold that realistic expectation?

In all likelihood, Roy’s first year back will be similar to his 2011 stat line. An average of 12-to-16 points per game is realistic for a player who will be overcoming two major deficiencies: A history of severe knee injuries and a full season away from the game.

Nevertheless, that average will come with its outliers. In 2011, Roy proved that he’s more than capable of outings with 20-plus points, which would certainly be welcomed by a weak Timberwolves perimeter. Just understand that the scoring will start low, increase over time and find a bit of consistency around the 50-game mark.

Once again, don’t let yourself get carried away by the hype and expect Roy to put up 24 points per contest.

Beyond the statistics, however, is a player whose mere abilities will be called into question. When Roy goes up for his jump shot, what kind of rise will he have beneath him? When he attempts to penetrate off the dribble, what kind of lateral quickness will he display? Once he enters the paint, what type of explosiveness will we see as he moves to the basket?

Most importantly, how will Roy fare against the elite athletes that now occupy almost every NBA backcourt? On weak knees, he may not be able to.

A concern the Timberwolves seem prepared to address.

Sources: TWolves are the heretofore unnamed dark-horse team in the Ray Allen Sweepstakes. Dark, though, as in jet-black.

— Ric Bucher (@RicBucher) July 6, 2012

So what can we expect from Brandon Roy? In all likelihood, the efficiently filled role of Sixth Man and the presence of a clutch player whose mere presence can take the pressure off of Kevin Love. If that’s not enough to placate the Twin Cities faithful, it’s time to temper expectations.

It’s hard to stand tall on fragile knees.

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Jun 302012
 

The Memphis Grizzlies needed to find a good scorer to replace O.J. Mayo with the No. 25 pick. They found a nifty guy in Tony Wroten. The Grizzlies will be looking for production early from Wroten, but it’s hard to say that he’ll give Mayo’s numbers quickly.

Wroten has the aggression and the motor to be a strong scorer right away for the Grizzlies. He averaged 12.8 field-goal attempts and 7.5 free-throw attempts per game in 2011-12.

He scored plenty for the Washington Huskies. The Seattle native averaged 16 points per game on 44.3 percent shooting.

However, the question is whether he can refine his skills in time to help the Grizzlies move past the point where the team was last year as the No. 4 team in the West.

The problem is that Wroten has Jeremy Lin Syndrome. The 19-year-old 2-guard goes only one direction effectively. While he is fantastic driving to his left, he struggles miserably driving to the right. Also, as his DraftExpress.com profile notes, he showed inconsistent mechanics in his year at Washington and had trouble pulling up for mid-range jumpers.

This resulted in an average of 3.8 turnovers per game for Wroten.

Also, he isn’t much of a three-point shooter, having hit just 18.8 percent of his three-point attempts.

Hence, his game is largely limited to driving to the bucket on the left side at this point.

That doesn’t mean Wroten can’t make it or can’t make a significant impact in his rookie year. At 6’6″ and 203 pounds, the Garfield High School alumnus is big enough to be a strong driver in the pros.

His speed and athleticism will key his ability to make up for his one-dimensional style going to the hole.

Indeed, Wroten will need to show at least to some extent that he has learned to broaden his game in his first year with the Grizzlies. He’ll have to work with teammates to learn to maintain form and ball control as he drives to the rack. Also, learning the art of jump shooting will help him become less predictable.

The Grizzlies will be counting upon Wroten to replace at least some of Mayo’s scoring. Mayo averaged 12.6 of their 95 points (13.3 percent). That’s a significant portion for a reserve. Memphis can’t simply expect Tony Allen and others to make up the difference. They’ll be looking for Wroten to fill Mayo’s role as a bench scorer.

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Jun 282012
 

Picking Terrence Ross with the No. 8 overall pick in the 2012 NBA draft will haunt the Toronto Raptors for years to come. The Raptors desperately reached for a wing player and will pay for it.

While Terrence Ross certainly isn’t a bad player to have, he completely lacks the star power that the Raptors need on the wing in order to compete at a high level.

There are a lot of things that Terrence Ross does well. He shoots the three-ball well, as he shot 37 percent from downtown last season for the Washington Huskies. He’s also very athletic and has good length for the shooting guard position. His leaping abilities are also very nice.

However, there are major downsides for this player, especially as the No. 8 pick in the draft.

Ross has absolutely no in-between game offensively. What that means is that while he can shoot three and can score at the rim, he can hardly score at all in between.

The Raptors need a player who can score for them when their offense needs to be bailed out from a broken possession. A player that can only shoot threes or get to the rim is going to struggle to do that, because he won’t always have time to get to the rim.

Another thing that any team wants in a wing scorer is a player that will take over the game in critical moments. Ross is not that type of player, and he has struggled in college ball with deferring to his teammates far too much, despite the fact that he’s the one with the talent.

The Raptors cannot spend such a high pick on a player who has shown in the past that he does not have the will to be that guy.

When you compound those concerns with Ross’ questionable shooting selection, there genuinely is cause for concern about his ability to be what the Raptors truly need in a scoring wing.

As if all of that wasn’t enough, Ross also is still too weak to be impactful on an NBA team right away. Even though he has a good frame, Ross is very thin at just 197 pounds. For a player who is 6’7”, that is not desirable.

Will Ross be a good player? Maybe. The potential is there to be a good one.

However, the No. 8 overall pick is not a place where you pick a player that could just be good. You need to pick a potential star at that spot, and Ross isn’t that type of player. The concerns in his game are just too many, and he will disappoint in the coming years for the Raptors.

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Jun 282012
 

The Philadelphia 76ers need more consistency shooting the ball and this 2012 NBA Draft boasts a handful of players that would fit right in.

Washington Huskies star Terrence Ross is one of several players that would fulfill this for Philadelphia, boasting confidence in his jumper and incredible range. His 16.4 points per game led the team last season.

These are the five best shooters the 76ers could get their hands on with the No. 15 selection.

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