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Mock Draft Tracker

Ben McLemore appears to be the top shooting guard prospect for this year’s draft. A look at who’s rising and falling on the mock drafts over the past week.

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Rising

Ben McLemoreBen McLemoreBen McLemore, Kansas

McLemore appears comfortable out there, and looks the part of an NBA 2-guard. He’s been a little inconsistent to start the year, particularly shooting the ball, but his potential is unmistakable. He’s drawn comparisons to Ray Allen due to his size, athleticism and silky shooting stroke, and smooth all around game.

-5

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Nov 302012
 

A funny thing happened on the way to the inevitable whitewashing that we were sure would follow San Antonio Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich’s decision to send four starters back to Texas early rather than face the Miami Heat at full strength on Thursday night. Instead of a stem-to-stern demolition born out of the talent imbalance between a Heat team with its three marquee names (LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh) ready to go and a Spurs side without its three signature stars (Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili, plus rising young swingman Danny Green), the fans in the stands at the AmericanAirlines Arena and watching at home on TNT saw an exciting, competitive, nip-and-tuck contest that went down to the wire.
If San Antonio was punting on the nationally televised matchup — as many seem to think they were, including NBA Commissioner David Stern, who before the game called Popovich’s roster manipulation “unacceptable” and promised “substantial sanctions” for the Spurs — it seemed no one told the Spurs, who rode big nights from the likes of guard Gary Neal (20 points and seven assists, albeit on 7-for-20 shooting and with six turnovers, off the bench), center Tiago Splitter (18 points, nine rebounds, two assists) and rookie Nando De Colo (15 points, six rebounds, five assists and five turnovers in the most significant action of his young career) to a seven-point lead with five minutes remaining. Miami, however, clawed back late behind the rim-attacking of James and Wade, and with 40 seconds remaining, trailed by a lone point, 98-97.
Mr. Allen, please pick up the red courtesy phone:

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Nov 272012
 

The Boston Celtics are an organization that values players who win championships and live by their loyalty. Even as Ray Allen provided the Celtics with a title and numerous other opportunities to strike gold, his breach of allegiance was unforgivable when he signed with the Miami Heat this past offseason (via CBS Sports).

Fortunately for the Celtics, head coach Doc Rivers has found a way to replace Allen with Paul Pierce. Not the player you’d expect, is it?

Considering the Celtics lost the most decorated three-point shooter in NBA history, it’s difficult to truly fill his void. Through all of the biased hatred, there is no way around how dominant a shooter Allen was and still remains.

Such was a primary basis for offensive production in Boston for five seasons.

Unfortunately, all good things come to an end. After a calendar year of trade rumors, Allen finally decided to walk away and sign with Boston’s arch nemesis.

Such a backstabbing has motivated Pierce to step up and cause Boston to forget all about their former sharpshooter. Well, to a point.

Pierce is presently shooting 43.1 percent from beyond the arc and 87.2 percent from the charity stripe. Although he is not to be mistaken for Allen physically, Pierce’s numbers are rather Allen-esque, are they not?

Shooting the lights out is just the beginning of the ways Pierce has stepped in to fill Allen’s absence; he has also made significant adjustments in his style of play.

From providing point guard Rajon Rondo with a curling scorer to stepping up as the go-to sharpshooter, Pierce has done it all. Even as his perimeter teammates knock down shot after shot, one thing has become perfectly clear.

The 35-year-old Pierce has been tasked with replacing the 37-year-old Allen. He has responded magnificently.

 

Working Off of Screens

It is no secret that Allen is one of greatest motion basketball players in NBA history. The way Allen works off of screens is legendary, while his conditioning enables him to wear down players that are 15 years younger than he.

For evidence, watch the 37-year-old continue to work his magic in Miami. He’s shooting 52.9 percent from beyond the arc in 2012-13.

Although replacing Allen’s long-range shooting ability is virtually impossible, the Celtics have done an adequate enough job to maintain efficiency. Surprisingly, it isn’t Jason Terry who is filling said void as a three-point specialist.

Although Terry is shooting 41.2 percent from beyond the arc, it is Pierce who has taken more of Allen’s former role.

Thus far this season, 22.1 percent of Pierce’s shot attempts have come off of designed screen plays. That’s up from 14.0 in 2011-12, which displays how Pierce has stepped up to fill Allen’s void as a motion scorer.

As a result of this change in approach, Pierce is shooting 43.1 percent from beyond the arc. Up from 36.6 percent a year ago.

 

Transition Spot Up

One of the most underrated aspects of Ray Allen’s game is his ability to run in transition and spot up on a cue. This enables elite transition scorers and facilitators to capitalize on Allen’s presence as they either kick it out or keep a defender off balance until attacking the basket.

In turn, their attempts become far less contested.

With Allen gone from the team, point guard Rajon Rondo appeared to lack a transition shooter. Fortunately, Paul Pierce has stepped up to fill that void in a major way as 18.2 percent of his shot attempts have come in transition.

That’s up from 14.3 percent in 2011-12.

Although Pierce is shooting a rather underwhelming 42.8 percent from the floor, he still has stepped up to fill Allen’s void. With his selfless play and willingness to work without the basketball, the Celtics have transitioned nicely from where they were a year ago.

Due to Pierce’s contributions, they’re presently flowing on offense better than ever before.

Read more Boston Celtics news on BleacherReport.com

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Nov 252012
 

(Reuters) – The NBA champion Miami Heat staged a thrilling fightback to keep their unblemished home record alive, beating the Cleveland Cavaliers 110-108 on Saturday. The Heat, down by 11 at halftime and by seven with just under two minutes remaining, stormed home thanks mainly to Ray Allen who scored the last seven points to push the Heat to 10-3 on the season and 6-0 in Miami. Allen coaxed in a lay up and drew a foul with 1:32 remaining for a three-point play and then gave the Heat the lead with 18 seconds left with a three-pointer. …

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Nov 242012
 

(Reuters) – The NBA champion Miami Heat have staged a thrilling fightback to keep their unblemished home record alive, beating the Cleveland Cavaliers 110-108 on Saturday. The Heat, down by 11 at halftime and by seven with just under two minutes remaining, stormed home thanks mainly to Ray Allen who scored the last seven points to push the Heat to 10-3 on the season and 6-0 in Miami. Allen coaxed in a lay up and drew a foul with 1:32 remaining for a three-point play and then gave the Heat the lead with 18 seconds left with a three-pointer. …

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Nov 212012
 

When Boston Celtics head coach Doc Rivers first recruited Jason Terry to join his team, the sales pitch was short and simple: We need you.

At the time, Boston’s backcourt depth was a gigantic question mark, and acquiring at least one consistent offensive contributor for the bench was a No. 1 priority. A good-sized offer had (supposedly) been placed at Ray Allen’s feet—he’d yet to sign with the Heat—but Boston’s decision to go hard after Terry all but murdered the possibility of the three-point king extending his tenure.

The Celtics may have had an offer out to Allen, but Terry was clearly their guy. Why? Boston’s offense has been awful going on three years in a row. Part of the problem was an obvious lack of individual playmakers who could create off the dribble with the shot clock winding down. They needed freelance specialists who could pack a punch off the bench.

With Avery Bradley yet to have the experience/confidence needed to fill this role (not to mention the question mark surrounding his surgically repaired shoulders) the Celtics knew that in order to get past the Miami Heat, they’d need to acquire another scorer in the backcourt.

If Allen and Terry were placed in a Venn diagram, more characteristics would overlap in the middle than fall on the periphery. Both are dead-eye three-point shooters, both are in their mid-30s and both play the same position.

Boston needed someone who could put the ball on the floor, create mid-range opportunities for both himself and others, and swallow his ego by thriving off the bench.

At this stage in his career, Allen wasn’t the answer. His ability to produce was mostly a byproduct of four floor mates working hard to get him open, and according to Basketball Prospectus, his usage rate dropped below league average last season for the first time in his career.  In a nut shell, he was more a hindrance than a resolution.

Call it evolution or devolution, but in the latter stages of Allen’s tenure with Boston, he increasingly grew one-dimensional, defined by an ability to catch and shoot the ball, with 35.7 percent of his production coming off screens last season. Putting the ball on the floor was extremely rare. Instead, coming off screens was a huge part of his game, and a scoring solution that lingered a bit too long—given the alternative options supplied by an improving Rajon Rondo—for the Celtics. 

On the other hand, on paper, Jason Terry was a perfect fit. But basketball isn’t a sport that’s played on paper. Let’s take a look at how Boston is using Terry so far, and how it’s compared to what they used to do with Allen.

So far this season, 23.6 percent of Terry’s production has been off screens, where he’s averaging 0.96 points per possession (second best in the league).

Last season with the Mavericks, only 7.7 percent of Terry’s production was off screens. There are two possible conclusions to take away from this increase: Either the Celtics are trying to fit a square peg into a round hole, or the more likely reason, they’ve decided having the ball in Rondo’s hands as much as possible gives them the best chance to win.

Terry ran the pick-and-roll a ton in Dallas. He was really good at it, but that was more a product of contextual necessity than anything else. A 26-year-old Rajon Rondo is by far the best point guard he’s ever played with, and it might be better in this situation if Terry sacrifices some of his own strengths to best fit in with Boston’s current dynamic.

Here’s Ray Allen running the play that made him so successful in Boston. He begins in a crowd, then forces his man to shoot the gap on Kevin Garnett‘s away screen. The result is a wide open three-pointer. 

And here’s the Celtics running basically the exact same thing with Terry on the other side of the court. The major difference here is that instead of a three from the wing, Terry’s shot is a 16-footer from the baseline. Still, it’s the same concept, right down to the defender helplessly trying to shoot the gap on a Garnett screen. 

Those two plays are great examples of how the Celtics are using Jason Terry in similar situations with how they used Ray Allen. However, while Allen owns the better shot, Terry has the ability to make the most out of spilt milk. 

What I mean by that is Doc Rivers probably feels a little more comfortable designing sets for Terry knowing that, if all hell breaks loose and the play’s shape falls apart, the Celtics can still get a decent look at the hoop. 

Here’s a play designed to have Terry curl off a pick and find a good look at the basket. The only problem is that after running through a gauntlet of well-placed screens, he finds himself face to face with Joakim Noah, one of the league’s most active, intimidating defenders.

If this were Allen, Noah’s size would take away the shot, and the ball would be reversed back to Rondo with six seconds left on the shot clock. The set would be thwarted, and the possession would be chalked up as an ugly waste. 

Because Terry is a superior ball-handler, he doesn’t panic, instead creating space with a step back jumper that fakes Noah out of his shoes. This play exemplifies why Terry is both a better fit in Boston and a more lethal offensive weapon. 

What everybody’s still waiting for, though, is an unstoppable pick-and-roll, a play Terry should be able to run flawlessly with either Garnett or Brandon Bass.

In the clip above, Terry actually uses a stagger screen to get all the way to the hoop. Would it surprise you if I said this was the only time all season he’s finished at the hoop in a pick-and-roll situation? Getting all the way to the rim on a regular basis would be asking too much, and at his age it isn’t really what Terry does anymore. But there should still be more action created off this set with the ball in his hands.

It’s the biggest difference between him and Ray Allen. Isn’t that why the Celtics signed Terry in the first place?

Read more Boston Celtics news on BleacherReport.com

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Nov 192012
 

So, the Celtics got worked by Detroit. Fear not, though, Boston fans: Rajon Rondo’s streak of double-digit regular-season assists is still alive. 

Much focus has been on whether Rajon Rondo was wrong to hunt for his assist streak during a blowout. I’m more focused on why the blowout was even happening against a Detroit team that’s looked somewhere between “lifeless” and “incompetent” this season. 

The Celtics are notorious players of NBA regular-season possum. It is difficult to know whether their occasional midseason struggles are indicative of real concern or simply the result of a team pacing itself on an 82-game schedule. 

I’ll split the difference. Some Celtics trends are discouraging, but they come with the caveat that Boston might turn it on when needed. I emphasize the “might” here, because there’s some revisionist history to last year’s Boston playoff run.

Last season is seen as a success because the Celtics were a win away from making the finals. But, with proper context, Boston faced a mostly Horford-less Atlanta, a No. 8-seeded Sixers team (probably due to Derrick Rose‘s injury) and a mostly Bosh-less Miami team.

Credit to Boston for almost outplaying every team it faced, but this was an atypical playoff path. If you’re counting on such fortune in future years, it’s asking for a lot.

The Celtics perhaps felt the same way, because they retooled over the offseason. Out with Ray Allen, in with Jason Terry, Courtney Lee, Leandro Barbosa, Jeff Green and Jared Sullinger. What you’ll notice about all of these names is, with the exception of Lee, these guys are defensive liabilities.

Ray Allen wasn’t exactly a defensive stopper, but he also wasn’t funneling his man into the likes of Sullinger and Green. Jared is slow and raw as a rookie. Green can play capable D against small forwards, but gets crushed by bigger players. 

Defensive ace Kevin Garnett has been asked to compensate for all these leaking holes, and it might be a bit too much to ask of the 36-year-old center. The Celtics are typically one of the NBA’s best defenses, but they’ve started off the season No. 22 on defense according to Basketball Reference

Paul Pierce has also appeared, to the untrained eye, out of shape. He’s been a step slower than usual, which could be the effects of age or the effects of an especially fun offseason. Pierce is an underrated defender, and he’s absolutely crucial to Boston’s strategy. If Boston is relying on Jeff Green to give Pierce-level help against elite scoring wings, I fear for it. 

There is hope on the horizon. When Avery Bradley comes back, he’ll be able to lend his brand of ball-pressure defense above the circle. That should improve matters somewhat. Boston also could stand to get better at offense in the meantime, as it has rebuilt its roster with versatile guards. 

It’s early, and Boston has plenty of time to fix this. But it should be remembered: Due to age, Boston’s margin of error gets slimmer by the year. 

Read more Boston Celtics news on BleacherReport.com

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Nov 132012
 

Complex is a perfect word to define Rajon Rondo. His game is complex: no one plays quite like himhe throws complex passes, drives to the basket in complex ways and makes finishes around the basket that can only be described as, well, complex.

Rondo’s personality is complex, too. He’s been described by others as petulant, moody, stone-faced and stubborn, yet deep down he’s a warrior and a fiery competitor that plays a game so unselfishly that he needs to have his own offensive game urged out of him.

The question of if Rondo is mature enough to be the locker room leader of the Celtics is complex as well. Sure, outwardly you can see Rondo taking steps towards asserting himself to be a better leader, like organizing this flag football game for his Celtics teammates this offseason.

But to really answer a question like that, you’d need to spend weeks embedded in the Boston Celtics locker room. You’d need to travel with the team on road trips, attend shoot-arounds, eat meals with the team and really ingratiate yourself with all things Boston Celtics to fully understand complex team dynamics such as locker room leadership.

Leadership, however, does not put the ball in the hoop, and the NBA boiled down to its most basic state is about winning games. That is something the Rondo led Boston Celtics have done prolifically.  

Which leads to a deeper question about Rondo’s maturity to lead the locker roomdoes it matter?

Last postseason the Celtics came the closest to toppling the eventual NBA Champion Miami Heat and Rondo was (at times) the best player on the floor, including King James himself.

Maturity and locker room leadership from Rondo would certainly be a welcomed addition and a natural evolution of his personality, but in the grand scheme of things, it just does not matter and here’s why.

  1. There’s something to be said for on court leadership and in that area Rondo is the unmatched leader on the Celtics. There’s a reason Rondo was being talked about as a possible MVP candidate this season, and it’s because his individual play has never been better. When Boston acquired Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen to assemble their version of a “Big Three”, Rondo was the shy and mercurial point guard was often considered the reason the Celtics would fall short of a championship. The script has now been flipped in Boston now and any Celtic championship that comes along this time will be because of Rondo, not in spite of him.
  2. Kevin Garnett: from everything that’s been said about KG by past teammates and coaches, there may not be a better locker room leader in the game today. Being the point guard and arguably the team’s most important player will always entitle Rondo to a modicum of natural leadership, but as long as Garnett is donning the green, the locker room will be his.

Ultimately for the Celtics to make any noise in the Eastern Conference this year, they’ll need Rondo to lead by continuing to play his fearless brand of basketball that only he can replicate. Being a better teammate in the locker room will help, but producing 15 point, 12 assist and five rebound type of performances that he’s so famous for, is the type of leadership Boston needs the most.

Being a team’s best player and unquestioned leader on the court, yet a moody and sometimes disengaged locker room leader off the court is a complex scenario. Sounds like the perfect job for Rajon Rondo. 

Read more Boston Celtics news on BleacherReport.com

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Nov 082012
 

Over a week into the 2012-13, and the defending champs are being treated like the mid-market bores that they are. The Miami Heat has won three of four, their lone loss came in a nationally televised (on a Friday night, but still national) drubbing at the hands of the New York Knicks, and there hasn’t been a whole lot of scandal to go around. The controversy behind Ray Allen’s icy relationship with his former mates in Boston has died down, and the entire league can’t seem to take its eyes off of the soap opera in Los Angeles and the frowny faces in Oklahoma City .
All along, the Heat keep getting buckets. In scarier and scarier ways, as they routinely look for the open man while keeping both opponent and head coach gobsmacked as to how great they are at moving the rock.
Earlier this week, after the Heat trampled the Phoenix Suns by 25 points at home, Suns forward Jared Dudley gushed to reporters post game about the Heat’s insistence on finding the open man. From the AP :
”I thought that was probably the most unselfish team I’ve ever played against since I’ve been in the NBA,” Dudley said. ”It was drive, kick, swing, penetrate, flare, and they were hitting everyone. Even when someone had a good shot they would make an extra pass for someone to have an even better shot.”

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